Credit Risk Modelling & Analytics

Building better models for better risk decisions.

Credit risk professional with 11+ years of experience across IRB, IFRS9, mortgages and personal loans, combining quantitative modelling with regulatory and business decision-making.

11+
Years in credit risk
IRB
Regulatory modelling
IFRS9
Impairment modelling
Manu Abbi

Quantitative modelling with a practical focus.


My work sits at the intersection of statistical modelling, credit risk, regulation and business decisions. I have worked across mortgages and personal loans, developing models used for capital, impairment, forecasting and stress testing.

Problems I've worked on.

01

AIRB credit risk models

Redesigned PD, LGD and stress testing models as part of regulatory model development and approval work.

02

IFRS9 modelling

Developed and redeveloped PD, LGD and EAD models supporting expected credit loss measurement.

03

Forecasting & analytics

Applied time-series and statistical modelling to mortgage loss forecasting and portfolio analysis.

A decade-plus in credit risk.

Nov 2024 — Present
Barclays Bank
Vice President · Noida, India
  • Redesigned and secured BoE PRA approval for Hybrid PD, LGD and Stress Testing AIRB models.
  • Led redevelopment of IFRS9 LGD and ELBE models using decomposition-based time series methodology.
  • Leading redevelopment of the IFRS9 model suite for the Barclays personal loan portfolio.
  • Managed and developed a global team of five analysts.
Apr 2021 — Oct 2024
Barclays Bank
Vice President · London, United Kingdom
  • Redesigned and secured regulatory approval for advanced credit risk models.
  • Worked with business teams on acquisition and securitisation analysis.
  • Built dashboards and explainability tools for business and finance teams.
Mar 2018 — Apr 2021
Barclays Bank
Assistant Vice President · London, United Kingdom
  • Developed the Hybrid PD model as part of the IRB Repair Programme.
  • Built Generation 2 IFRS9 PD, LGD and EAD models for mortgages.
  • Re-engineered the ECL scoring code base, reducing runtime by approximately 75%.
Jul 2014 — Mar 2018
Barclays Shared Services
Senior Analyst → Assistant Manager · Noida, India
  • Developed IFRS9 LGD impairment frameworks for the UK Home Finance portfolio.
  • Designed time-series models for mortgage loss forecasting.
  • Built Basel PD and EAD models for personal loans.

Tools, techniques & domains.


A combination of traditional statistical modelling, machine learning, econometrics and credit risk expertise.

IRB IFRS9 PD LGD EAD Stress Testing Time Series Generalised Linear Models Decision Trees Clustering Gradient Boosting Random Forest Python SAS SQL Spark R

Academic foundation.

Delhi School of Economics

Master's in Economics · First Class · 2014

Hans Raj College

Bachelor's in Economics · First Class · 2012


Interested in connecting?